Who’s going to win? Week 11 Pac-10 picks

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Posted by ESPN.com’s Ted Miller

Went 3-1 last week as the mix-and-match California offensive line proved me wrong. Will it again this week? Season record stands at 44-12.

USC 35, California 13: USC needs to make a statement to enliven its fading BCS title game chances. Cal is looking to hurdle its biggest obstacle toward the program’s first Rose Bowl since 1959. But will the Bears be able to score enough on the road against the nation’s best defense, particularly with a banged up offensive line and questions (again) at quarterback — will it be Nate Longshore (likely) or Kevin Riley (who’s trying to come back from a concussion)?

Oregon State 24, UCLA 17: Oregon State coach Mike Riley has never beaten UCLA, but his Beavers should be highly motivated: They’re four wins away from the Rose Bowl. Both teams have issues. It appears that the Beavers will go with backup quarterback Sean Canfield because starter Lyle Moevao is still nursing a shoulder injury. The Bruins, meanwhile, suspended three players, including two from their thin offensive line, for team rules violations. Mistakes might decide this one: Canfield and UCLA quarterback Kevin Craft both have a tendency to be careless with the football.

Oregon 41, Stanford 30: Neither team can pass or defend the pass, so is this one going to feature 80 runs? Hard to believe a former NFL quarterback, Stanford coach Jim Harbaugh, and one of the nation’s most respected offensive minds, Oregon coach Mike Bellotti, would settle for that. Both teams are sticking with their quarterbacks, though both might use more than one — and Oregon’s Jeremiah Masoli is nursing a foot/ankle injury. The Ducks should be on upset alert. Stanford is desperately searching for a sixth win and bowl eligibility, while Oregon might come out a little flat after the disappointing result last weekend at Cal.

Arizona 48, Washington State 10: The only question: Is there any mixture of an overconfident Arizona team, a suddenly inspired Washington State squad and a surprise appearance by Lady Luck in Pullman that could distill an upset from dirt and air of the Palouse? The most reasonable answer: No.

Arizona State 44, Washington 13: It’s been a frustrating year for Arizona State, but it’s hard to imagine any Sun Devil is more frustrated than quarterback Rudy Carpenter. He began the year as the consensus pick as the Pac-10s best quarterback and a potential All-American, but injuries and inconsistency have riddled him and the offense as a whole. He has limped along as an afterthought while the Sun Devils dropped six games in a row. But, oh, how he must be salivating over the Huskies, who own the worst pass defense in the nation and are completely incapable of sacking a quarterback. Feed Rudy. Feed.

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