Arizona State, by the numbers

Arizona State by the Numbers

The “by the numbers” previews have been conspicuous by their absence of late, so there’s no time like the penultimate game of the season to revisit. Rather than individual stats, this version is a look at the results that USC and Arizona State have against the conference teams that they have both played.

First, Arizona State:

Offense Defense
Opponent Result Passing Rushing Passing Rushing Other Notes
Cal W, 31 – 20 219 144 261 98 ToP 37.30, T.O. +1
Oregon L, 23 – 35 379 110 200 200 ToP 35.20, T.O. – 1
Oregon State W, 44 – 32 361 35 190 324 ToP 30.50, T.O. +4
Stanford W, 41 – 3 266 174 237 -2 (!) ToP 34.26, T.O. +2
Washington W, 44 – 20 227 296 142 146 ToP 35.33, T.O. -1
Washington State W, 23 – 20 217 78 369 82 ToP 35.21, T.O. -1
Total 1669 837 1399 848
Average 278.2 139.5 233.2 141.3

And then, USC:

Offense Defense
Opponent Result Passing Rushing Passing Rushing Other Notes
Cal W, 24 – 17 129 239 199 200 ToP 30.19, T.O. +1
Oregon L, 17 – 24 277 101 157 182 ToP 30.59, T.O. -1
Oregon State W, 24 – 3 187 100 85 91 ToP 29.34, Push
Stanford L, 23 – 24 364 95 149 86 ToP 32.08, T.O. -4
Washington W, 27 – 24 236 224 90 100 ToP 34.51, T.O. -1
Washington State W, 47 – 14 302 207 183 64 ToP 33.02, T.O. – 1
Total 1495 966 863 723
Average 249.2 16
1
143.8 120.5

So, numbers.

I took a look at the Scouts preview, and the crux of their thinking was that ASU has the better quarterback and wide receivers, but SC otherwise has the edge. The notion is that SC’s strong run defense will force ASU to pass more, and ASU’s relatively porous offensive line not very good at protecting Rudy Carpenter (the team’s yards per play average for the season is nearly a yard shorter because of all the sacks – from 4 yards and change to 3 yards and change).

The numbers suggest that the teams are well matched on offense, with USC having a slight disadvantage in passing and advantage in running. The defense, on the other hand, is not as close. If the Trojans take it easy on the turkey and don’t get all sleepy from tryptophan overloading – as well as keeping a lid on the usual penalties, minimizing turnovers, stuffing the run, and putting pressure on Carpenter – they’ve got a reasonable chance of winning this game.

However, this is ASU’s shot at the Rose Bowl – so they won’t be taking the game at all lightly. Simply minimizing mistakes probably won’t be enough for SC, so hopefully they can muster a little enthusiasm.

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Kyle Bunch

Partnerships for R/GA Ventures. Raised in California, adopted by Texas. Opinions expressed here are mine and they are fantastic.

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